Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Can Kohl's Meet These Numbers?

Kohl's (NYSE: KSS  ) is expected to report Q1 earnings on May 16. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Kohl's revenues will grow 0.9% and EPS will decrease -7.9%.

The average estimate for revenue is $4.28 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.58.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Kohl's notched revenue of $6.34 billion. GAAP reported sales were 5.4% higher than the prior-year quarter's $6.02 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, EPS came in at $1.66. GAAP EPS of $1.66 for Q4 were 7.8% lower than the prior-year quarter's $1.80 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 33.3%, 290 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 10.8%, 260 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 5.9%, 170 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $19.44 billion. The average EPS estimate is $4.32.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 671 members out of 797 rating the stock outperform, and 126 members rating it underperform. Among 222 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 192 give Kohl's a green thumbs-up, and 30 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Kohl's is hold, with an average price target of $50.33.

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